Bitcoin faces a two-day test that will decide whether the crypto bull run survives

Video: Bitcoin Has 2 DAYS to Save the Crypto Bull Run

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Oct 25, 2026 · based on the channel EllioTrades

Bitcoin has roughly two days to hold a critical support zone and confirm that the crypto bull run remains intact. According to EllioTrades, the upcoming weekly close is the decisive event: if BTC finishes the week above support, the uptrend stays valid and altcoins can continue to run; if it breaks, a deeper correction becomes likely. Traders can track event-based odds on this outcome through Kalshi.

Why the weekly close matters more than any single candle

A weekly close is the market's final verdict on a period, not a temporary spike or dip. EllioTrades frames the next two days as a binary test: Bitcoin either defends the support that has held through recent consolidation or it loses it, and each outcome sets a different path for the entire crypto market. The logic is simple. Weekly closes are used by larger funds to judge trend health; a close below a well-watched level can trigger risk reduction, while a close above it gives buyers confidence to add exposure. That is why the analyst calls this a two-day window to save the bull run rather than a routine pullback.

The key levels and the two scenarios for Bitcoin

EllioTrades does not publish a single magic number without context, but the plan is built around a clear support band and the reaction it produces. In practice, the scenarios look like this:

1. Support holds into the weekly close. The bull run remains the base case. BTC can consolidate and then attempt to reclaim recent highs, and altcoins get a green light for rotation.
2. Support breaks on a weekly close. The short-term trend flips bearish. The analyst prepares for a deeper retrace, with the understanding that such a move would create better entries rather than end the cycle.
3. False breakdown and reclaim. A wick below support that closes back above it is treated as a liquidity grab, not a trend change. This is the scenario that traps reactive sellers.

A recurring theme in the comments is that one retrace was enough to turn a very bullish crowd bearish. That is exactly the behavior the plan is designed to avoid: decisions are made on closes, not on intraday fear.

Which altcoins EllioTrades is watching to buy if support holds

The video includes a shopping list for the scenario where Bitcoin defends support. The approach is to buy strength in assets that have already shown relative performance, not to catch falling knives in weak charts. EllioTrades discusses specific coins he is looking to buy if support holds, and the selection criteria are consistent: assets that hold their own support levels while BTC tests its own, and that show volume returning on bounces. The analyst also mentions shorting Near as a tactical idea, which drew pushback from viewers who consider it a bad call. That disagreement is useful context: even within a single plan, directional bets on individual altcoins carry their own risk and should be sized accordingly. The broader point is that altcoin exposure should be conditional on the Bitcoin scenario, not treated as an independent bet.

Common questions and doubts from traders

The reaction to the video reveals several recurring concerns. One is whether a short bear market would weaken the next bull run; the counterargument is that a shallow correction simply resets leverage without destroying the longer cycle. Another is the belief that weekend price action is meaningless because market makers are off, so retail cannot save Bitcoin. EllioTrades' framework sidesteps that debate by focusing on the weekly close, which happens regardless of who is at the desk. A third concern is the definition of a buying opportunity: viewers want to know whether a move to $100K followed by a drop to $80K or $70K counts. The honest answer is that the plan defines entries by support reactions, not by a single target price. Finally, some traders argue it is better to dollar-cost average higher into a confirmed bull market than to wish for a cheaper entry, because confirmation raises the probability of larger gains. That is a legitimate trade-off between opportunity cost and risk.

How to trade the next two days without guessing

The practical takeaway from EllioTrades is a conditional plan rather than a prediction. First, mark the support zone on the weekly chart and wait for the close. Second, predefine what you will do in each scenario: add on a confirmed hold, reduce or hedge on a confirmed break, and ignore intraday wicks. Third, keep position sizes small enough that a wrong call does not force an emotional exit. Fourth, watch Bitcoin dominance as a guide for altcoin rotation; if dominance rises while BTC falls, altcoins are likely to underperform. The analyst's own trading journey is public on fomo, which gives a live reference for how the plan is executed. For traders who want to act on the outcome, platforms such as Liquid offer fee discounts, and WEEX runs a deposit bonus promotion.

All links from the video

• Kalshi: trade event outcomes with a bonus
• Liquid: 10% off trading fees
• WEEX: deposit $100, unlock up to $4,000 in bonuses
• fomo: follow the public trading journey
• EllioTrades on X

Conclusion: the next two days are a decision point, not a forecast

Bitcoin's weekly close is the single most important input for the crypto market right now. If support holds, the bull run stays alive and the altcoin shopping list becomes actionable; if it breaks, patience and a plan for lower entries matter more than conviction. EllioTrades lays out both paths so that traders can react to the close instead of predicting it. You can put the outcome to work with a Kalshi account and follow the channel EllioTrades for the full video breakdown.

Source: Bitcoin Has 2 DAYS to Save the Crypto Bull Run · Markdown version